TSX ETF Investor Centre
Europe - The Worst May Be Behind Us
European equity markets have strongly outperformed the U.S. over the past three months in both U.S. dollar and local currency terms. The magnitude of the recent outperformance is unprecedented in the last 15 years, with the Euro STOXX 50 versus S&P 500 materially breaking above its 100-week moving average for the first time since the Great Financial Crisis, except for a brief period in first half of 2015 when the European Central Bank (ECB) launched Quantitative Easing in January. The 100-week moving average is a trend indicator, and the break above this trendline could be an indication that Europe’s structural underperformance has come to an end. We believe several factors have led to Europe’s recent outperformance and should continue to drive this trend.
The Stage is Set for Europe
European equities have held up better than their U.S. peers during the recent market pullback. Year-to-date, the STOXX 600 Index has dropped less than the S&P 500 Index, while the FTSE 100 Index has actually seen a positive return.
Europe: You Haven’t Missed the Boat
European equities have had a great run so far in 2021with the STOXX 600 Total Return Index up 20% YTD, keeping pace with the US and outperforming other regions.
Les actions européennes ont connu une excellente année jusqu’à présent en 2021. L’indice de rendement total STOXX 600 a grimpé de 20 % depuis le début de l’année, affichant ainsi un rendement similaire à celui des États-Unis et supérieur à celui d’autres pays.
A New Voyage in the Old Continent
The European market has long been underappreciated and underinvested by North American investors due to their perceptions that Europe lacks growth and innovation. However, the narrative has shifted: STOXX 600 realized a total return above 20% YTD, keeping pace with the S&P 500 and outperforming other major indices in the developed markets such as Japan’s TOPIX and Australia’s ASX 200.
Depuis longtemps, les investisseurs nord-américains boudent le marché européen, où ils perçoivent une croissance insuffisante et un manque d’innovation. Or, le contexte a changé : le rendement total de l’indice STOXX 600 a dépassé le cap des 20 % depuis le début de l’année. Ainsi, il fait aussi belle figure que le S&P 500 et dépasse même de grands indices de marchés développés tels que le TOPIX (Japon) et l’ASX 200 (Australie).