TSX ETF Report - Q2 2022
ETF Insights Market Intelligence Group - TMX Group ETF Insights Market Intelligence Group - TMX Group

TSX ETF Report - Q2 2022

Dive into TSX ETF industry quarterly insights with the TSX ETF Report. Learn about Q2 TSX low volatility ETFs, new ETF listings, Top Traded ETF Options, and more.

With the world’s Central banks’ focus on using interest rates to combat headline inflation, Canadians are evaluating the personal impact of rising interest, inflation rates and the effect that the volatility is having on their investment portfolios.

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Senior Loans: Rising Rates, Rising Coupons
ETF Insights Don Hauka, Market One Media ETF Insights Don Hauka, Market One Media

Senior Loans: Rising Rates, Rising Coupons

On June 16, 2022, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 75-bps interest rate hike – the largest rate hike since 1994, bringing the Federal Funds target rate to 1.5-1.75%. Meeting participants (Federal Reserve Board members & Federal Reserve bank presidents) projected a median Fed Funds rate of 3.4% by year-end 2022, suggesting that interest rate hikes are likely to continue through the balance of 2022 and beyond in an attempt to control rising inflation.

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The Real Solution for Inflation
ETF Insights Don Hauka, Market One Media ETF Insights Don Hauka, Market One Media

The Real Solution for Inflation

The S&P 500 has officially entered a bear market regime as of June 14, having sold off 22% from its closing high on January 3, 2022. The selloff this year was triggered by a combination of factors, including record high inflation, the Russia-Ukraine war, and a substantial tightening of financial conditions driven by the Federal Reserve (“Fed”). Over the past 40 years the market has become accustomed to falling inflation, low/declining interest rates, and periods of quantitative easing, which led to high equity valuations and strong returns. Long-duration assets benefited the most in this type of regime. However, we argue that the current market environment is the opposite of the previous cycles. Characteristics including high inflation, rising interest rates, slowing GDP growth, and a hawkish Fed warrant a shift in investment strategy. Investors should generally look to position their portfolios more defensively than in the past. Additionally, investors need to look for strategies that can act as an inflation hedge and that have moderate to high dividend yields, which provide a margin of safety in volatile markets. One area of the market that meets these criteria is real assets equities, which we believe present an excellent opportunity for investors in the current market environment.

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